Intro to Culper’s ‘Imminent Second USA American Civil War’

Intro by John R. Houk

© July 5, 2019


Second USA American Civil War (2) – [photo from]


Samuel Culper [bio in Forward Observer Mission Statement] has made three videos about an “Imminent Second USA American Civil War”. Culper’s videos originate on his blog the Forward Observer. However, I discovered via email alerts from Conservative, Right Wing News. And so the CRWN route is how I’m going to proceed in this cross post.


In the first video Culper asserts that civil war is in operation – NOW. He points out this civil war has not broken into conventional warfare, BUT the American Left is engaging the Right with misinformation, lies, calling ALL Conservatives extremists to brainwash the everyday American, destroy freedom, use lawfare strategies to bankrupt Conservatives and so on. The Leftist aim is to win the war without going to war.


The first video is about Leftist strategies. The second video is an attempt explain the Conservative response to Leftist strategies with the assumption Conservatives will NEVER control the government or perhaps never as long as the current bureaucracy is dominated by the Left. Culper believes the Conservative response will be regional in a balkanized scenario. Culper divides the balkanization into three scenarios:


  • Secessionist


  • Separatist


  • Resistance


I am uncertain if Culper views these scenarios evolving progressively or in sporadic simultaneous movements across the nation.


The third video is predictive in nature but with the caveat there is no certainty in predictions. Culper uses Sir John Glubb’s book on “The Fate of Empires” as the predictive paradigm. Culper views America’s westward expansion as empire building and so there is an American Empire. My personal objection to the concept of empire by conquest is at least since 1865, the USA was involved in foreign wars by conquest was never the objective. The Spanish American War resulted in territorial acquisition but when the people in those acquisitions chose self-determination, independence was granted without conflict. Cuba and the Philippines come to mind. Puerto Rico has been offered independence or statehood several times, but to date Puerto Rican voters have opted to remain a U.S. Territory.


The point Culper makes about the USA is its time as a world power has an expiration date. The allusion is the American Left/Right conflict that may deteriorate into balkanized conflict will be the demise of the America as we know it.


Trust me, I have done little justices to Culper’s envisioning of a Second American Civil War. You should watch to form your own opinion. Also the third video ends somewhat open ended with the implication Culper has more to add on the subject on future short talk videos.


Here are the links to the Conservative, Right Wing News cross posts:








I am cross posting all three videos from the Youtube embedded titles below.


JRH 7/5/19

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VIDEO: Breaking Down “Civil War 2” – Part One


Posted by Forward Observer

Published on Jun 25, 2019


In this video, intelligence analyst and Iraq/Afghanistan war veteran Samuel Culper breaks down a different way to look at “Civil War 2.”


VIDEO: Breaking Down “Civil War 2″ – Part Two


Posted by Forward Observer

Published on Jul 1, 2019


In this video, intelligence analyst and Iraq/Afghanistan war veteran Samuel Culper breaks down some alternative scenarios to “civil war.”


VIDEO: Breaking Down “Civil War 2” – Part Three


Posted by Forward Observer

Published on Jul 4, 2019


In this video, intelligence analyst and Iraq/Afghanistan war veteran Samuel Culper breaks down another reason to expect Balknization [sic] of the U.S., and two ways to begin looking at strengths and weaknesses of competing sides of a conflict.


Download Fate of Empires:


Part One:


Part Two:


My website:


Intro to Culper’s ‘Imminent Second USA American Civil War’

Intro by John R. Houk

© July 5, 2019


PART 1, 2 & 3: Breaking Down The Imminent Second USA American Civil War (2)




© 2019 Forward Observer. All Rights Reserved


Tony Newbill Emails 8/20 to 8/28/13

Ball & Chain of Economic Corruption

These emails focus on government shenanigans with implications of corruption and actions leading toward economic danger via manipulation. A couple of interesting email was a bit enlightening to me. Their theme is about regions within a State or States desiring secession. Here’s the novelty for me: they do not want to secede from the USA, rather they desire actual secession from their State to form a new State.
JRH 9/28/13

Please Support NCCR

Get Ready For The Death Of The Petrodollar
Sent: 8/20/2013 8:57 AM
August 20, 2013 by Brandon Smith 
Even after seven years of writing macroeconomic analysis for the liberty movement and bearing witness to astonishing displays of financial and political stupidity by more “skeptics” than I can count, it never ceases to amaze me the amount of blind faith average Americans place in the strength of the U.S. dollar. One could explain in vast categorical detail the history of fiat currencies, the inevitable destruction caused by inflationary printing and the conundrum caused when any country decides to monetize its own debt just to stay afloat — often, to no avail.
Bank bailouts, mortgage company bailouts, Treasury bond bailouts, stock market bailouts, bailouts of foreign institutions: None of this seems to phase the gibbering bobbleheaded followers of the Federal Reserve cult.  Logic and reason and wisdom bounce like whiffle balls off their thick skulls. They simply parrot one of two painfully predictable arguments:
o   Argument No. 1: There is no way foreign countries will ever dump the U.S. dollar because they are so dependent on American consumers to buy their export goods.
o   Argument No. 2: There is no way the dollar’s value will ever collapse because it is the dominant petro-currency, and the entire world needs dollars to purchase oil.
I have written literally hundreds of articles over the years dismantling the first argument, pointing out READ THE REST
U.K. Gold ‘Exports’ To Switzerland Explode Due To Allocated and Asian Demand
8/20/2013 10:30 AM
The Great shift in Dollar rates is upon us.
Published in Market Update
20 August 2013
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,365.75, EUR 1,020.28 and GBP 871.29 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,375.25, EUR 1,031.39 and GBP 878.47 per ounce.

Gold fell $6.40 or 0.47% yesterday, closing at $1,366.60/oz. Silver edged down $0.02 or nearly 0.09%, closing at $23.16. Platinum fell $14.52 or 1% to $1,504.49/oz, while palladium was down $10.75 or 1.4% to $749.75/oz.

Gold and silver both pulled back yesterday on profit taking and as stop loss limits triggered selling. There were jitters among some market participants as President Obama met the heads of the CFTC, SEC, CFPB, FHFA, NCUA, FDIC, the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve.

Liquidated ETF gold holdings are being shipped from the U.K to Switzerland for refining into smaller one kilogramme gold bars, Australian bank Macquarie wrote in a note yesterday. These were then sent to Asia and bought by Asian investors. The note confirmed, what has been known anecdotally for some weeks.

This is contributing to the increased tightness in the physical market as large London Good Delivery bars (400 oz) are air freighted to Switzerland for refining into smaller kilo bars (32.15 ounces) for the voracious Asian market.

There is also an increasing preference for allocated storage in Switzerland by high net worths and family offices. Switzerland still has much of the world’s gold refining capacity and remains a favourite destination of investors and savers concerned about sovereign risk – including sovereign risk in the EU, U.K. and U.S.

Most of the gold ETFs holdings were held in London vaults, and U.K. gold ‘exports’ to Switzerland exploded from 92 tonnes in all of 2012 to a whopping 240 tonnes in May this year alone and a very large 797 tonnes in the first six months of 2013.

The 797 tonnes of gold “exported” from the U.K. to Switzerland is nearly 30% of total annual gold mining supply.
Investors appear to be switching from ETFs to allocated accounts, which are often held in Switzerland, Bloomberg noted. GoldCore have direct experience of this as we have seen flows from clients liquidating ETFs in the U.K., the U.S. and even Switzerland into the safety of allocated bullion accounts in Zurich and Hong Kong.

“Bail-ins” and the risk of being an unsecured creditor of investment and savings providers is one of the reasons for the flight to allocated gold.

Prudent and risk conscious gold investors and store of wealth buyers continue to focus on ‘return of capital’ rather than ‘return on capital’ and are therefore switching from the more high risk, in terms of counter party risk, ETFs to the safety of allocated bullion.

Store of wealth bullion buyers will use weakness to accumulate physical again due to the strong fundamentals

___  _____  ____  ____  ____
As The Crisis Deepens, Gold Flows East
Over the last three decades what began as a trickle of gold and silver moving east has become a flood. This is precisely what one should have expected. Loose and looser American fiscal and monetary policy has led to the export of dollar inflation to those countries – notably China – that have pegged their currencies to the dollar.

The obvious consequence of higher prices abroad has led to higher demand for precious metals as a store of value in the same countries.
Headline topics covered in July’s Insight:
  • Crisis: the new normal
  • In a zero sum game, someone has to be the loser
  • The business model: speculation
  • When the data is bad, make up the data
  • Gold and silver: huge demand meets too much leverage
India on the verge of financial collapse
Sent: 8/20/2013 11:53 AM
These kinds of events in India will forge a new alliance to the SDR rather than sticking with the demands of a dollar regime that’s dependency on foreign parts supplies even from this country leaves it in a Position not able to negotiate for any loyalty to continue as its choice in Currency trade relations.
Stacy Summary: Here comes the tsunami following the 2007/2008 collapse in the West. And, once again, the IMF will create some magic credit against which to lend . . . the big question is, however, now in a post bail-in world, what happens to all the gold (and silver to a lesser extent) in which Indians hold their savings.
India’s financial woes are rapidly approaching the critical stage. The rupee has depreciated by 44% in the past two years and hit a record low against the US dollar on Monday. The stock market is plunging, bond yields are nudging 10% and capital is flooding out of the country.
Why American Business and Jobs are Stalled and Never coming back under Democratic rule!!!!!!!
Sent: 8/20/2013 4:51 PM
EPA’s Secret And Costly ‘Sue And Settle’ Collusion With Environmental Organizations
In an affidavit, ATI informed the court that one of the two specialists EPA assigned to handle the CEI’s FOIA requests admitted that a supervisor instructed her and a colleague to perform no work on them. Then:
“Following this, EPA constructed a cul de sac of refusing to perform a search of responsive records until ATI agreed to pay estimated fees…which by law non-profits typically do not pay under FOIA…but which EPA then refused to provide.”
Quite certainly, EPA is not the only federal agency to engage in secret Sue and Settle deals with crony environmental lobbying organizations. In a January letter to his Attorney General Buddy Caldwell, Senator Vitter wrote:
“The collusion between federal bureaucrats and the organizations entering consent agreements under a shroud of secrecy represents the antithesis of a transparent government, and your participation in the FOIA request [filed by 13 other states’ AGs] will help Louisianans understand the process by which these settlements were reached.”
Caldwell subsequently agreed to the Senator’s request.
Vitter highlighted a recent example where the READ THE REST
How is this productive????
Sent: 8/21/2013 8:25 AM
What can an Article V Constitutional Convention do to STOP THIS?????
Good Bye Republican Party  because Obama and the Democrats are going to use this Welfare Benefit to Build their Base and do it by telling them they better keep them in office if they want these benefits to continue because the Republicans want to CUT YOU OFF!!!!!
Amnesty and welfare I bet will Explode.
This tells us the stock market is not based on true supply side growth!!!
The Work versus Welfare Trade-Off: 2013
Executive Summary
In 1995, the Cato Institute published a groundbreaking study, The Work vs. Welfare Trade-Off, which estimated the value of the full package of welfare benefits available to a typical recipient in each of the 50 states and the District of Columbia. It found that not only did the value of such benefits greatly exceed the poverty level but, because welfare benefits are tax-free, their dollar value was greater than the amount of take-home income a worker would receive from an entry-level job.
Since then, many welfare programs have undergone significant change, including the 1996 welfare reform legislation that ended the Aid to Families with Dependent Children program and replaced it with the Temporary Assistance to Needy Families program. Accordingly, this paper examines the current welfare system in the same manner as the 1995 paper. Welfare benefits continue to outpace the income that most recipients can expect to earn from an entry-level job, and the balance between welfare and work may actually have grown worse in recent years.
The current welfare system provides such a high level of benefits that it acts as a disincentive for work. Welfare currently pays more than a minimum-wage job in 35 states, even after accounting for the Earned Income Tax Credit, and in 13 states it pays more than $15 per hour.
If Congress and state legislatures are serious about reducing welfare dependence and rewarding work, they should consider strengthening welfare work requirements, removing exemptions, and narrowing the definition of work.
Moreover, states should consider ways to shrink the gap between the value of welfare and work by reducing current benefit levels and tightening eligibility requirements.
Have you heard this Interview with Michael Pento???
Sent: 8/22/2013 12:21 PM
[Editor: The link is to a radio broadcast featuring Michael Pento. About Michael Pento:
President of Pento Portfolio Strategies – Michael is a well-established specialist in the “Austrian School” of economics. A regular on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business, and other national media outlets and his market analysis can be read in most major financial publications. Prior to starting Pento Portfolio Strategies he served as a senior economist and VP of the managed products division of another well known financial firm. Michael has also created ETFs and UITs that were sold throughout Wall Street. Earlier in his career, he worked on the floor of the NYSE.]
I sure Like what This is talking about
Sent: 8/22/2013 6:35 PM
The 51st State initiative has a website and appeals to the Declaration of Independence as justification for its efforts, writing: When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another, and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature’s God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation. The 51st State website claims that their initiative is simple.
“We just want to be left alone to live our lives without heavy-handed restrictions from the state capitol,” read a post on the website. “The concerns of rural Coloradans have been ignored for years,” William Garcia, chairman of the Weld County Commissioners, said in a statement. “The last session was the straw that broke the camel’s back for many people. They want change. They want to be heard.”
Why Not?
Sent: 8/23/2013 10:54 AM
90 or so states in the union might make a Better Republic!
This is going to be a Big Deal and make a Lot of Noise!
Other statehood movements
This website is dedicated to the efforts being made in Colorado to form a new state.  Following are link to other statehood movements throughout the country:

Western Maryland

Northern Michigan

Chicago as it own State
Jefferson State (Northern CA / Southern OR) – coming soon
Baja Arizona

I sure Like what This is talking about.  
[Editor: Link already excerpted above]
This is going on in Oregon and California
Jefferson State Project About Page:
Development of this site began in the fall of 1998 to bring attention to the plight of the local people and local economies along the mountain border region of northern California and southern Oregon.
Despite a ‘growing economy’ and a tech boom which went bust, many in our region were facing opposition to our natural resource based industries and livelihoods by environmentalist extremists, activist judges, non-government organizations and their broadening political agenda in collusion with governmental agencies at the state and federal levels. This threat has become more real and is moving in the wrong direction.
Our attempt is to bring land use controls and private property rights back to the local level governed by local people by any and every means necessary under the law.
This mission brings mocking from politicians, the socialist elite and all of those who place unscrupulous and misguided ideals ahead of a free people under the United States Constitution.
For more info:
Brian Petersen
Phone 530-842-2315
Yreka, CA – for now
Thank-you for your interest.
I say a little Munity looks interesting…… 
You Won’t believe this, it’s Absolutely incredible
Sent: 8/24/2013 11:38 AM

VIDEO: Dept Of Hate – DHS Manager: In order For Black People To Survive “A Lot Of Whites Need To Be Killed”

This is not a good Idea!!!!!
Sent: 8/28/2013 10:09 AM
Here’s a Quote that shocked me a Bit …. Quite a bit!!!!
“There is a long history of attempts by scientists to control the weather, including using techniques such as cloud seeding.
This involves spraying small particles and chemicals into the air to induce water vapour to condense into clouds.” ….
And we wonder why we are seeing more disease???   HA HA the Elite work in mysterious ways…
Weather could be controlled using lasers
Scientists are attempting to control the weather by using lasers to create clouds, induce rain and even trigger lightning.
Experts from around the world are to gather at the World Meteorological Organisation next month to discuss how powerful laser pulses can be used to generate changes in the atmosphere that influence the weather.
Their experiments have shown that intense pulses of light can cause ice to form and water to condense, leading to the formation of clouds.
The scientists have now begun testing their equipment outside for the first time with extremely short pulses of laser light were fired into the sky.
Researchers have also proved that lightning discharges can be triggered and channelled through the air using laser pulses.
They hope the technology could allow lightning during thunderstorms to be guided away from sensitive buildings such as power plants or airports.
It could also be used to manipulate the weather by creating clouds and triggering rainfall ahead of major public events.
Professor Jean-Pierre Wolf and Dr Jerome Kasparian, both biophotonics experts at the University of Geneva, have now organised a conference at the WMO next month in an attempt to find (READ THE RESTWeather could be controlled using lasers; By Richard Gray; The Telegraph; 1:53PM BST 27 Aug 2013)
© Tony Newbill
Edited by John R. Houk

Ron Paul – Past Associations Matter

LS Ad Logo for 'It's Over' book


John R. Houk

© February 11, 2011


I am not necessarily a fan of Rep. Ron Paul because of his Libertarian credentials; nonetheless Paul appears to be more Conservative than a Left Wing social values Libertarian. A friend of mine at the TCU Nation sent me a link to the Conservatives Speak Out Blog reporting on an incident in which Rep. William Lacy Clay (D-MO) criticized Congressional testimony of Dr. Thomas DiLorenzo as being irrelevant because of an affiliation that stretches beyond his Professorship at Loyola University in the Economics Department. Rep. Clay questioned DiLorenzo’s credentials because the League of the South has listed him as an affiliate Scholar.


The League of the South has acquired its appellation as a racist-hate group from the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC). This SPLC label as a source of information got my attention because it is a Left Wing group that labels anything on Right as a hate group. The SPLC added several Pro-Family and/or Conservative Values groups on a Hate-Group list in its Winter 2010 release. Many if not most of these alleged Hate-Groups as defined by the SPLC are Christian Right organizations that stand with Biblical Morality. Subscribing to Biblical Morality then makes you a purveyor of HATE according to the SPLC. The SPLC is committed to the Secular Humanist notion that homosexuality is a biological gender reality rather than a choice; ergo homosexuality deserves the same equal rights as race, creed, gender (meaning male/female political equality), religious affiliation and creed. This also means the Word of God derived from God is therefore HATE rather than the righteous measurement of which morality should be derived from.


Here are just a few of these groups associated with HATE by the SPLC:


·       Concerned Women for America


·       Christian Anti-Defamation Coalition


·       Coral Ridge Ministries


·       Family Research Council


·       American Family Association


·       Traditional Values Coalition


If you Google any of these organizations you will notice they take a stand for Christian Family Values which this nation’s Founding Father’s equated as an excellent foundation for the rule of law to remain good rather than descending into bad despotic government over the governed.


So you can see the reason why the SPLC designation of the League of the South as a HATE group piqued my attention, right?


Unfortunately for Rep. Ron Paul and Dr. DiLorenzo I think this might be an occasion in which the SPLC has credibility. The League of the South denies any affiliation to racism. Read the excerpts from their “League of the South Statement on ‘Racism’”:


… However, we make this one statement, to satisfy strangers of good will, that we bear no ill will or hatred to any racial, ethnic, or religious group.


We believe that Christianity and social order require that all people, regardless of race, must be equal before the law. We do not believe that the law should be used to persecute, oppress, or favour any race or class.


We believe that the only harmony possible between the races, as between all natural differences among human beings, begins in submitting to Jesus Christ’s commandment to “love our neighbours as ourselves.” That is the world we envision and work for.


We believe that the politics of race — baiting whites against blacks and blacks against white has been profitable for politicians but catastrophic for the South and Southerners.


We believe that all Southerners – black and white – want and need the same things: a safe country for their families, liberty, and the Gospel of Jesus Christ.


We believe that the last thing the South’s enemies want is to see black and white Southerners sitting down together to determine their common destiny and work for authentic harmony, a just social and economic order, and an independent South. …


The League of the South categorically denies racism.


Now let’s read some excerpts from the League of the South’s about page entitled, “What is The League of the South?


… The League of the South is a Southern Nationalist organization whose ultimate goal is a free and independent Southern republic. To reach this goal, we intend to create the climate for a free South among our people by 1) de-legitimating the American Empire at every opportunity; 2) by proving our willingness to be servant-leaders to the Southern people; and 3) by making The League of the South a strong, viable organization that will lead us to Southern independence.



We also encourage individuals and families to personally secede from the corrupt and corrupting influence of post-Christian culture in America. We call this “abjuring the realm,” and it’s a real and dramatic first step all of us can take by simply withdrawing our support of and allegiance to a regime that has imperiled our future.


While we seek to use shame and contempt to de-legitimate the institutions controlled by the Empire, we must not stop there. We must create our own parallel institutions to which our people can attach their loyalties. …



At present, the League is more concerned with resurrecting our cultural base than with entering into the political arena. Once our Southern culture is re-established, then the political issues will begin to take care of themselves. Good leaders flow naturally out of a healthy culture; however, power-hungry, self-seeking politicians are all we can expect from the debased cultural climate we have today.


The League of the South seeks leaders who have the hearts of servants. The Bible tells us clearly that no man can lead until he is willing to serve his fellowmen. When you join our organization, we expect you to begin immediately serving our cause and our people. We will show you how.



By joining The League of the South you have placed yourself among a group of men and women who are not content to sit by and allow their land, liberty, and culture be destroyed by an alien regime and ideology. You have joined an active organization that knows where it wants to go and how to go about getting there. The League is no place for the lazy or the faint-hearted. We would love to welcome you to our growing band of Brothers and Sisters. Please join us today.


The goals presented in this about page do not include the reinstitution of Black Slavery. With the prior statement on racism combined with this stipulation of goals it would appear at first glance that there is inclusiveness of Southern Blacks and Southern Whites in a present goal to secede from the Union of the United States of America.


There seems to be a bit of a cryptic passage in the League of the South goals that might concern me if I was an Afro-American. There is this goal stipulation: “At present, the League is more concerned with resurrecting our cultural base than with entering into the political arena. Once our Southern culture is re-established, then the political issues will begin to take care of themselves.” The words “resurrecting” and “re-established” would denote to me a hearkening back to the old Southern antebellum culture that included slavery. Obviously slavery would not be a political option in the 21st century; however I can see that resurrecting the old South might mean Black segregation and/or the qualifying of Civil Rights that would be detrimental to Afro-Americans.


As an American that believes in the U.S. Constitution I regard the League of the South secessionist/separatist goal of forming a Southern nation whether it is called the Confederacy or the United Southern States of America (perhaps the USSA) is an act of rebellion against Constitutional government. The only legitimate way I view as seceding from the Union of the USA is in a Constitutional Amendment worded in such a way to allow a State to leave the Union or the Constitutional alternative in joining other States to form a Constitutional Convention to re-write a Constitution in a way that benefits a State’s desire to secede. Any other fashion of seceding from the Union is rebellion. I am sure the SPLC is not thinking this way; however I would classify the League of the South as a HATE group against the U.S. Constitution ratified on June 21, 1788. The subsequent 13 Colonies that ratified the Constitution and future States that desired admittance to the Union and so received Congressional recognized Statehood need to honor the more perfect Union that has made America the greatest nation planet Earth has ever seen.


Dr. DiLorenzo is a Professor at Loyola University in Maryland. Loyola is a respectable academic institution. Rep. Clay associates DiLorenzo with the League of the South. According to a Wiki article DiLorenzo says he is not affiliated with the League of the South, he claims he only gave a few lectures there. DiLorenzo is associated with the Abbeville Institute which is a low profile academic think tank teaching secession and the “positive” aspects of antebellum South. The article I read on the Abbeville Institute focuses on its founder Donald W. Livingston who named the organization after birthplace of John C. Calhoun who was a U.S. Vice President and a notable Senator from South Carolina. Calhoun was an avid supporter of slavery and Southern culture. Just before Calhoun died in 1850 he became the architect of the compromise that limited slavery to Southern States and excluded Westward expansion of the vile institution of slavery.


The League of the South and the Abbeville Institute are anti-USA. A secessionist movement of the type advocated would turn America into a weak nation and force Southern States into an existence which could open North America to be subject to the aggression of the growing strength of Communist China and the ever present hubris of Russia desiring recognition as an international force.


Frankly the claims of non-racism for promoters of the old lifestyle of the South’s antebellum days is as believable as the morons who are going on record that the Islamist organization known as the Muslim Brotherhood is a non-violent promoter of Islam. The non-racism claims are as believable that President Barack Hussein Obama’s past associations with Marxist anti-Americans and anti-American Muslim are irrelevant.


JRH 2/11/11 (Hat Tip: Gettin after Lefty)